Week 11 Record: 4-1
We are turning it around. Picked 4 underdogs in week 11 and that turned out to be very helpful. Only the Vikings failed us last week, while the Saints train kept on rolling and the Texas teams won outright. The Chiefs miraculously made a back door cover late in Monday night’s epic shootout where we saw 105 points scored.
2018 Record: 31-47-1
2018 Record since switching to five picks per week: 19-27-1
2018 Record since week 4: 19-20-1
Contrary to what all major media outlets have to say to be in the good graces of the NFL, this week’s slate is pretty weak. We have three thanksgiving day games, which are always dicey, and five games with spreads of 9 points or higher. Regardless, we will wager, we will watch, and we will win.
Week 12 Picks
Patriots -9.5 at Jets
In the last 15 years, Bill Belichick and the New England Patriots are 12-3 coming off a regular season bye. The Jets are the 29th best team in the league and are 13-29 over the last three seasons. Todd Bowles will likely be fired after the year, if not before, so give me the best head coach/quarterback combo of all time laying nine.
Bengals -3 vs Browns
Not only is Cincinnati 7-3 in their last 10 games against the Browns, but Ex-Browns Head Coach Hue Jackson was spotted on the Bengals sideline last week. Despite being an incompetent head coach, Huey should be able to help enough insight for the Bengals to gash a Browns defense that is 28th against the run and 30th against the pass. I am a little weary here because the three point line at home seems fishy for the Bengals as that essentially says that Vegas sees these teams as equal on a neutral field, but I’ll be a square and take Cinci.
Raiders +10.5 at Ravens
The Ravens won last week despite very predictable play calling with Lamar Jackson under center. They probably will be able to beat the 31st ranked rush defense, but the double digit line is too high for the 43 point total. Especially considering its highly unlikely the Ravens will possess the ball for over 38 minutes again. At a time when everyone is selling the dogsh*t Raiders short, I’m buying into the Black and Silver.
Chargers -12.5 vs Cardinals
Arizona is 2-8 on the year with both their wins coming against the hapless 49ers squad. Additionally, five of their eight losses have come by double digits and they find themselves in another road game with a double digit spread. The Chargers, on the other hand, had won six straight games before a last second field goal sunk them against the Broncos last week. The Bolts also got Joey Bosa back last week which should bolster their defense, and they are up against the 29th ranked run defense so look for a big game from Melvin Gordon. I’ll lay the points here in a game the Chargers win – the only question is whether or not the margin will be big enough…
Steelers -3 at Broncos
Vegas must want everybody on the Steelers this week because I would have thought this line would be close to 5.5 / 6. The Steelers did look dead on the road in Jacksonville before a miraculous 14 point 4th quarter comeback, but they’ve won six straight games. With the door finally shut on Le’Veon Bell, Pittsburgh is able to rally around James Conner and the other guys in the locker room and moved forward united.